International scientists want better forecasting methods. They want to know how 'climate change' will impact the world's animal and plant species.
Good luck with that! Most forecasters can only guess tomorrow...with less than a stellar accuracy, how will they get 50, 100 years from now right?
Still the scientists offer these 8 proposals:
1. Select one of the many meanings associated with the complex concept of biodiversity and target that meaning as the parameter in a specific forecast; (yeah, right, get all the scientists to agree on what the key words mean.)
2. Evaluate and validate forecasting methods before applying them to general forecasts; (And this is not already being done?!)
3. Consider the various factors that might impact biodiversity from climate change to pressures from humans on the native habitat of species; (The human activity may be the most unpredictable variable.)
4. Obtain adequate information before making predictions about future outcomes; (the best way to know the future is to make it.)
5. Examine fossil records to aid in understanding how some plant and animal species have adapted to changes in their environments; (When in doubt, ask a rock.)
6. Improve four widely-used techniques in forecasting that focus on individuals, groups, the integration of species, environmental factors and groups or species based on theories; (theories = best guess x four = don't have a clue anymore.)
7. Embed ecological principles in forecasts based on air, water and animal and plant life; (those principles are?)
8. Develop better models to improve upon modeling forecasts, called species-area curves, based on a specific number of species in relation to their habitat and how climate changes can modify the environment. (repeat after me...the models do not work...the models do not work.)
This reminds me of a tv program I once saw. The US president in the drama had no idea how to get something done. What he did was turn to an advisor and yell, "Just make it right!"
Now global warming alarmists have even more scientists yelling at them.
Do you think it is possible to predict the weather 10, 50, 100 years down the road when most places cannot get the weekend forecast right?
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